Market News

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast As a rule, markets tend to gravitate towards data that aligns with their expectations. In this context, investors disregarded the acceleration of consumer prices to 2.9% y/y in December and the downward revision of retail sales data for November from 0.7% to 0.8% m/m. Instead, they focused on core inflation […]

Daily Euro Fundamental Forecast As a rule, shock is an instant reaction to an unexpected event that eventually passes. Investors were concerned that Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs would threaten the global economy, that the debt crisis in the UK would be contagious, and that Bank of America’s prediction that the Fed would start raising rates in

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The Washington Post’s January 6 report has set the stage for the year ahead. The EURUSD pair is projected to reach parity, but the path may be turbulent due to new speculation about the President-elect’s team preparing a plan to impose tariffs of 2-5% per month. This has led to a significant

Daily US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The market discounts everything. The US stock indices’ inability to continue rallying amid the surge in Treasury yields conveys a critical message: the US economy has hit its growth ceiling. New attempts to stimulate it will lead to inflation and force the Fed to abandon rate cuts, resulting in a

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The December reduction in the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% was perceived by the markets as a “hawkish cut.” The updated FOMC forecasts have triggered a decline in stock indices, pushing US Treasury yields higher and reinforcing the US dollar. Investors had anticipated hawkish rhetoric from the

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The recent speculation surrounding Donald Trump’s tariffs has prompted a dead cat bounce in the EURUSD pair, a term used in technical analysis to denote a short-lived recovery of asset prices from a prolonged decline. Since the cat is dead anyway, things quickly return to normal. As the global community awaits Donald

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The trading environment can be likened to a race between the US Federal Reserve and the markets. In this race, the markets often appear to be the faster runners. In a surprising move, the central bank prompted significant fluctuations in various financial instruments. The USD index has reached its highest

Daily US Dollar Fundamental Forecast Is the Fed on the verge of reaching a neutral rate? What impact will Donald Trump’s policies have on the central bank and the US dollar? The president-elect may object to the Federal Reserve’s decision to pause its monetary easing cycle, particularly in light of the European Central Bank’s continued

Weekly Euro Fundamental Forecast Adversity is a catalyst for growth and resilience. Despite the political crises in Germany and France, the recession of the German economy, and the ECB rate cuts, the EURUSD pair remained stable. The major currency pair demonstrated resilience and is poised to navigate potential challenges, including a vote of no confidence in the government

Weekly Euro Fundamental Forecast The euro is suffering from political crises in Germany and France. Now the ECB has decided to add to the collapse. Despite the European Central Bank’s best efforts to present a positive outlook, investors remained vigilant and were not deceived. The EUR USD pair declined in response to signals regarding the continuation of the