Market News

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast Historically, the US economy has been a locomotive for the global economy, but this paradigm will likely change this year. The strength of the US economy has allowed other countries’ exporters to thrive. However, President Trump’s trade policies aim to change this trend. He has proposed 25% import duties on […]

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast Tariffs may be delayed but not ruled out entirely. President Donald Trump’s decision not to jolt the stock market suggests a deliberate approach to policy implementation. This is further evidenced by the President’s recent remarks regarding 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada and 10% on those from China,

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The discrepancy between expectations and reality is evident in the recent market fluctuations. The US dollar experienced a significant decline following President Donald Trump’s indications regarding tariffs, marking the worst sell-off since November 2023. The greenback was initially considered the most vulnerable currency to the inauguration due to record net

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast As a rule, markets tend to gravitate towards data that aligns with their expectations. In this context, investors disregarded the acceleration of consumer prices to 2.9% y/y in December and the downward revision of retail sales data for November from 0.7% to 0.8% m/m. Instead, they focused on core inflation

Daily Euro Fundamental Forecast As a rule, shock is an instant reaction to an unexpected event that eventually passes. Investors were concerned that Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs would threaten the global economy, that the debt crisis in the UK would be contagious, and that Bank of America’s prediction that the Fed would start raising rates in

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The Washington Post’s January 6 report has set the stage for the year ahead. The EURUSD pair is projected to reach parity, but the path may be turbulent due to new speculation about the President-elect’s team preparing a plan to impose tariffs of 2-5% per month. This has led to a significant

Daily US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The market discounts everything. The US stock indices’ inability to continue rallying amid the surge in Treasury yields conveys a critical message: the US economy has hit its growth ceiling. New attempts to stimulate it will lead to inflation and force the Fed to abandon rate cuts, resulting in a

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The December reduction in the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% was perceived by the markets as a “hawkish cut.” The updated FOMC forecasts have triggered a decline in stock indices, pushing US Treasury yields higher and reinforcing the US dollar. Investors had anticipated hawkish rhetoric from the

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The recent speculation surrounding Donald Trump’s tariffs has prompted a dead cat bounce in the EURUSD pair, a term used in technical analysis to denote a short-lived recovery of asset prices from a prolonged decline. Since the cat is dead anyway, things quickly return to normal. As the global community awaits Donald

Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The trading environment can be likened to a race between the US Federal Reserve and the markets. In this race, the markets often appear to be the faster runners. In a surprising move, the central bank prompted significant fluctuations in various financial instruments. The USD index has reached its highest